Mixed effect model autocorrelation - Linear mixed model fit by maximum likelihood [’lmerMod’] AIC BIC logLik deviance df.resid 22.5 25.5 -8.3 16.5 17 Random effects: Groups Name Variance Std.Dev. operator (Intercept) 0.04575 0.2139 *** Operator var Residual 0.10625 0.3260 estimate is smaller. Number of obs: 20, groups: operator, 4 Results in smaller SE for the overall Fixed ...

 
Recently I have made good use of Matlab's built-in functions for making linear mixed effects. Currently I am trying to model time-series data (neuronal activity) from cognitive experiments with the fitlme() function using two continuous fixed effects (linear speed and acceleration) and several, hierarchically nested categorical random factors (subject identity, experimental session and binned .... Trousers men

I am seeking advice on how to effectively eliminate autocorrelation from a linear mixed model. My experimental design and explanation of fixed and random factors can be found here from an earlier question I asked: Crossed fixed effects model specification including nesting and repeated measures using glmm in RI'm trying to model the evolution in time of one weed species (E. crus galli) within 4 different cropping systems (=treatment). I have 5 years of data spaced out equally in time and two repetitions (block) for each cropping system. Hence, block is a random factor. Measures were repeated each year on the same block (--> repeated measure mixed ...A comparison to mixed models. We noted previously that there were ties between generalized additive and mixed models. Aside from the identical matrix representation noted in the technical section, one of the key ideas is that the penalty parameter for the smooth coefficients reflects the ratio of the residual variance to the variance components for the random effects (see Fahrmeier et al ... in nlme, it is possible to specify the variance-covariance matrix for the random effects (e.g. an AR (1)); it is not possible in lme4. Now, lme4 can easily handle very huge number of random effects (hence, number of individuals in a given study) thanks to its C part and the use of sparse matrices. The nlme package has somewhat been superseded ... Chapter 10 Mixed Effects Models. Chapter 10. Mixed Effects Models. The assumption of independent observations is often not supported and dependent data arises in a wide variety of situations. The dependency structure could be very simple such as rabbits within a litter being correlated and the litters being independent. The PBmodcomp function can only be used to compare models of the same type and thus could not be used to test an LME model (Model IV) versus a linear model (Model V), an autocorrelation model (Model VIII) versus a linear model (Model V), or a mixed effects autocorrelation model (Models VI-VII) versus an autocorrelation model (Model VIII).Feb 28, 2020 · There is spatial autocorrelation in the data which has been identified using a variogram and Moran's I. The problem is I tried to run a lme model, with a random effect of the State that district is within: mod.cor<-lme(FLkm ~ Monsoon.Precip + Monsoon.Temp,correlation=corGaus(form=~x+y,nugget=TRUE), data=NE1, random = ~1|State) Mixed-effects models allow multiple levels of variability; AKA hierarchical models, multilevel models, multistratum models; Good references on mixed-effects models: Bolker [1–3] Gelman & Hill [4] Pinheiro & Bates [5]. In order to assess the effect of autocorrelation on biasing our estimates of R when not accounted for, the simulated data was fit with random intercept models, ignoring the effect of autocorrelation. We aimed to study the effect of two factors of sampling on the estimated repeatability: 1) the period of time between successive observations, and ...Abstract. The ‘DHARMa’ package uses a simulation-based approach to create readily interpretable scaled (quantile) residuals for fitted (generalized) linear mixed models. Currently supported are linear and generalized linear (mixed) models from ‘lme4’ (classes ‘lmerMod’, ‘glmerMod’), ‘glmmTMB’, ‘GLMMadaptive’ and ‘spaMM ...Chapter 10 Mixed Effects Models. Chapter 10. Mixed Effects Models. The assumption of independent observations is often not supported and dependent data arises in a wide variety of situations. The dependency structure could be very simple such as rabbits within a litter being correlated and the litters being independent. At this point, it is important to highlight how spatial data is internally stored in a SpatialGridDataFrame and the latent effects described in Table 7.1. For some models, INLA considers data sorted by column, i.e., a vector with the first column of the grid from top to bottom, followed by the second column and so on.At this point, it is important to highlight how spatial data is internally stored in a SpatialGridDataFrame and the latent effects described in Table 7.1. For some models, INLA considers data sorted by column, i.e., a vector with the first column of the grid from top to bottom, followed by the second column and so on. Nov 1, 2019 · Therefore, even greater sampling rates will be required when autocorrelation is present to meet the levels prescribed by analyses of the power and precision when estimating individual variation using mixed effect models (e.g., Wolak et al. 2012; Dingemanse and Dochtermann 2013) The following simulates and fits a model where the linear predictor in the logistic regression follows a zero-mean AR(1) process, see the glmmTMB package vignette for more details.This is what we refer to as “random factors” and so we arrive at mixed effects models. Ta-daa! 6. Mixed effects models. A mixed model is a good choice here: it will allow us to use all the data we have (higher sample size) and account for the correlations between data coming from the sites and mountain ranges. The following simulates and fits a model where the linear predictor in the logistic regression follows a zero-mean AR(1) process, see the glmmTMB package vignette for more details.Your second model is a random-slopes model; it allows for random variation in the individual-level slopes (and in the intercept, and a correlation between slopes and intercepts) m2 <- update(m1, random = ~ minutes|ID) I'd suggest the random-slopes model is more appropriate (see e.g. Schielzeth and Forstmeier 2009). Some other considerations:Recently I have made good use of Matlab's built-in functions for making linear mixed effects. Currently I am trying to model time-series data (neuronal activity) from cognitive experiments with the fitlme() function using two continuous fixed effects (linear speed and acceleration) and several, hierarchically nested categorical random factors (subject identity, experimental session and binned ...3.1 The nlme package. nlme is a package for fitting and comparing linear and nonlinear mixed effects models. It let’s you specify variance-covariance structures for the residuals and is well suited for repeated measure or longitudinal designs.The PBmodcomp function can only be used to compare models of the same type and thus could not be used to test an LME model (Model IV) versus a linear model (Model V), an autocorrelation model (Model VIII) versus a linear model (Model V), or a mixed effects autocorrelation model (Models VI-VII) versus an autocorrelation model (Model VIII).Eight models were estimated in which subjects nervousness values were regressed on all aforementioned predictors. The first model was a standard mixed-effects model with random effects for the intercept and the slope but no autocorrelation (Model 1 in Tables 2 and 3). The second model included such an autocorrelation (Model 2).Abstract. The use of linear mixed effects models (LMMs) is increasingly common in the analysis of biological data. Whilst LMMs offer a flexible approach to modelling a broad range of data types, ecological data are often complex and require complex model structures, and the fitting and interpretation of such models is not always straightforward.A random effects model that contains only random intercepts, which is the most common use of mixed effect modeling in randomized trials, assumes that the responses within subject are exchangeable. This can be seen from the statement of the linear mixed effects model with random intercepts.To do this, you would specify: m2 <- lmer (Obs ~ Day + Treatment + Day:Treatment + (Day | Subject), mydata) In this model: The intercept if the predicted score for the treatment reference category at Day=0. The coefficient for Day is the predicted change over time for each 1-unit increase in days for the treatment reference category.Linear Mixed Effects Models. Linear Mixed Effects models are used for regression analyses involving dependent data. Such data arise when working with longitudinal and other study designs in which multiple observations are made on each subject. Some specific linear mixed effects models are. Random intercepts models, where all responses in a ...The “random effects model” (also known as the mixed effects model) is used when the analysis must account for both fixed and random effects in the model. This occurs when data for a subject are independent observations following a linear model or GLM, but the regression coefficients vary from person to person. Infant growth is aFeb 28, 2020 · There is spatial autocorrelation in the data which has been identified using a variogram and Moran's I. The problem is I tried to run a lme model, with a random effect of the State that district is within: mod.cor<-lme(FLkm ~ Monsoon.Precip + Monsoon.Temp,correlation=corGaus(form=~x+y,nugget=TRUE), data=NE1, random = ~1|State) Chapter 10 Mixed Effects Models. Chapter 10. Mixed Effects Models. The assumption of independent observations is often not supported and dependent data arises in a wide variety of situations. The dependency structure could be very simple such as rabbits within a litter being correlated and the litters being independent. Dec 12, 2022 · It is a linear mixed model, with log-transformed OM regressed on marsh site (categorical), marsh type (categorical), soil category (categorical), depth (numerical, based on ordinal depth ranges), and the interaction between depth and marsh type; marsh site effects are modeled as random, on which the ICAR spatial autocorrelation structure is ... in nlme, it is possible to specify the variance-covariance matrix for the random effects (e.g. an AR (1)); it is not possible in lme4. Now, lme4 can easily handle very huge number of random effects (hence, number of individuals in a given study) thanks to its C part and the use of sparse matrices. The nlme package has somewhat been superseded ...A comparison to mixed models. We noted previously that there were ties between generalized additive and mixed models. Aside from the identical matrix representation noted in the technical section, one of the key ideas is that the penalty parameter for the smooth coefficients reflects the ratio of the residual variance to the variance components for the random effects (see Fahrmeier et al ...In order to assess the effect of autocorrelation on biasing our estimates of R when not accounted for, the simulated data was fit with random intercept models, ignoring the effect of autocorrelation. We aimed to study the effect of two factors of sampling on the estimated repeatability: 1) the period of time between successive observations, and ...Linear mixed model fit by maximum likelihood [’lmerMod’] AIC BIC logLik deviance df.resid 22.5 25.5 -8.3 16.5 17 Random effects: Groups Name Variance Std.Dev. operator (Intercept) 0.04575 0.2139 *** Operator var Residual 0.10625 0.3260 estimate is smaller. Number of obs: 20, groups: operator, 4 Results in smaller SE for the overall Fixed ...Aug 8, 2018 · 3. MIXED EFFECTS MODELS 3.1 Overview of mixed effects models When a regression contains both random and fixed effects, it is said to be a mixed effects model, or simply, a mixed model. Fixed effects are those with which most researchers are familiar. Any covariate that is assumed to have the same effect for all responses throughout the Sep 16, 2018 · Recently I have made good use of Matlab's built-in functions for making linear mixed effects. Currently I am trying to model time-series data (neuronal activity) from cognitive experiments with the fitlme() function using two continuous fixed effects (linear speed and acceleration) and several, hierarchically nested categorical random factors (subject identity, experimental session and binned ... The first model was a longitudinal mixed-effect model with a first-order autocorrelation structure, and the second model was the E-MELS. Both were implemented as described above. The third model was a longitudinal mixed-effect model with a Lasso penalty. Feb 10, 2022 · An extension of the mixed-effects growth model that considers between-person differences in the within-subject variance and the autocorrelation. Stat Med. 2022 Feb 10;41 (3):471-482. doi: 10.1002/sim.9280. In R, the lme linear mixed-effects regression command in the nlme R package allows the user to fit a regression model in which the outcome and the expected errors are spatially autocorrelated. There are several different forms that the spatial autocorrelation can take and the most appropriate form for a given dataset can be assessed by looking ...6 Linear mixed-effects models with one random factor. 6.1 Learning objectives; 6.2 When, and why, would you want to replace conventional analyses with linear mixed-effects modeling? 6.3 Example: Independent-samples \(t\)-test on multi-level data. 6.3.1 When is a random-intercepts model appropriate? Subject. Re: st: mixed effect model and autocorrelation. Date. Sat, 13 Oct 2007 12:00:33 +0200. Panel commands in Stata (note: only "S" capitalized!) usually accept unbalanced panels as input. -glamm- (remember the dashes!), which you can download from ssc (by typing: -ssc install gllamm-), allow for the option cluster, which at least partially ... You should try many of them and keep the best model. In this case the spatial autocorrelation in considered as continous and could be approximated by a global function. Second, you could go with the package mgcv, and add a bivariate spline (spatial coordinates) to your model. This way, you could capture a spatial pattern and even map it.Feb 10, 2022 · An extension of the mixed-effects growth model that considers between-person differences in the within-subject variance and the autocorrelation. Stat Med. 2022 Feb 10;41 (3):471-482. doi: 10.1002/sim.9280. A comparison to mixed models. We noted previously that there were ties between generalized additive and mixed models. Aside from the identical matrix representation noted in the technical section, one of the key ideas is that the penalty parameter for the smooth coefficients reflects the ratio of the residual variance to the variance components for the random effects (see Fahrmeier et al ... Mixed Effects Models - Autocorrelation. Jul. 1, 2021 • 0 likes • 171 views. Download Now. Download to read offline. Education. Lecture 19 from my mixed-effects modeling course: Autocorrelation in longitudinal and time-series data. Scott Fraundorf Follow.Growth curve models (possibly Latent GCM) Mixed effects models. 이 모두는 mixed model 의 다른 종류를 말한다. 어떤 용어들은 역사가 깊고, 어떤 것들은 특수 분야에서 자주 사용되고, 어떤 것들은 특정 데이터 구조를 뜻하고, 어떤 것들은 특수한 케이스들이다. Mixed effects 혹은 mixed ...Ultimately I'd like to include spatial autocorrelation with corSpatial(form = ~ lat + long) in the GAMM model, or s(lat,long) in the GAM model, but even in basic form I can't get the model to run. If it helps understand the structure of the data, I've added dummy code below (with 200,000 rows):In R, the lme linear mixed-effects regression command in the nlme R package allows the user to fit a regression model in which the outcome and the expected errors are spatially autocorrelated. There are several different forms that the spatial autocorrelation can take and the most appropriate form for a given dataset can be assessed by looking ...6 Linear mixed-effects models with one random factor. 6.1 Learning objectives; 6.2 When, and why, would you want to replace conventional analyses with linear mixed-effects modeling? 6.3 Example: Independent-samples \(t\)-test on multi-level data. 6.3.1 When is a random-intercepts model appropriate?a random effect for the autocorrelation. After introducing the extended mixed-effect location scale (E-MELS), ... mixed-effect models that have been, for example, combined with Lasso regression (e ... At this point, it is important to highlight how spatial data is internally stored in a SpatialGridDataFrame and the latent effects described in Table 7.1. For some models, INLA considers data sorted by column, i.e., a vector with the first column of the grid from top to bottom, followed by the second column and so on. Mixed-effect linear models. Whereas the classic linear model with n observational units and p predictors has the vectorized form. where and are design matrices that jointly represent the set of predictors. Random effects models include only an intercept as the fixed effect and a defined set of random effects.Feb 28, 2020 · There is spatial autocorrelation in the data which has been identified using a variogram and Moran's I. The problem is I tried to run a lme model, with a random effect of the State that district is within: mod.cor<-lme(FLkm ~ Monsoon.Precip + Monsoon.Temp,correlation=corGaus(form=~x+y,nugget=TRUE), data=NE1, random = ~1|State) Sep 16, 2018 · Recently I have made good use of Matlab's built-in functions for making linear mixed effects. Currently I am trying to model time-series data (neuronal activity) from cognitive experiments with the fitlme() function using two continuous fixed effects (linear speed and acceleration) and several, hierarchically nested categorical random factors (subject identity, experimental session and binned ... Recently I have made good use of Matlab's built-in functions for making linear mixed effects. Currently I am trying to model time-series data (neuronal activity) from cognitive experiments with the fitlme() function using two continuous fixed effects (linear speed and acceleration) and several, hierarchically nested categorical random factors (subject identity, experimental session and binned ...To do this, you would specify: m2 <- lmer (Obs ~ Day + Treatment + Day:Treatment + (Day | Subject), mydata) In this model: The intercept if the predicted score for the treatment reference category at Day=0. The coefficient for Day is the predicted change over time for each 1-unit increase in days for the treatment reference category.Recently I have made good use of Matlab's built-in functions for making linear mixed effects. Currently I am trying to model time-series data (neuronal activity) from cognitive experiments with the fitlme() function using two continuous fixed effects (linear speed and acceleration) and several, hierarchically nested categorical random factors (subject identity, experimental session and binned ...It is a linear mixed model, with log-transformed OM regressed on marsh site (categorical), marsh type (categorical), soil category (categorical), depth (numerical, based on ordinal depth ranges), and the interaction between depth and marsh type; marsh site effects are modeled as random, on which the ICAR spatial autocorrelation structure is ...the mixed-effect model with a first-order autocorrelation structure. The model was estimated using the R package nlme and the lme function (Pinheiro et al., 2020 ).Mixed Models (GLMM), and as our random effects logistic regression model is a special case of that model it fits our needs. An overview about the macro and the theory behind is given in Chapter 11 of Littell et al., 1996. Briefly, the estimating algorithm uses the principle of quasi-likelihood and an approximation to the likelihood function of ...Linear mixed-effect model without repeated measurements. The OLS model indicated that additional modeling components are necessary to account for individual-level clustering and residual autocorrelation. Linear mixed-effect models allow for non-independence and clustering by describing both between and within individual differences.include a random subject effect when modeling the residual variance. Several authors have proposed such extensions of the mixed-effects model, with the mixed-effects location scale model by Hedeker et al6,8,9 (MELS) being among the most widely known (but see also References 10 and 11).A comparison to mixed models. We noted previously that there were ties between generalized additive and mixed models. Aside from the identical matrix representation noted in the technical section, one of the key ideas is that the penalty parameter for the smooth coefficients reflects the ratio of the residual variance to the variance components for the random effects (see Fahrmeier et al ... The first model was a longitudinal mixed-effect model with a first-order autocorrelation structure, and the second model was the E-MELS. Both were implemented as described above. The third model was a longitudinal mixed-effect model with a Lasso penalty.Random intercept + Autocorrelation structure on the errors, and; Autocorrelation structure on the errors only (using gls() command). I fit model 3 because I've been taught that sometimes an autocorrelation structure is enough for longitudinal data. For model 1, variance of random effect (intercept) was 676.9 (and accounted for 62% of total ...Arguments. the value of the lag 1 autocorrelation, which must be between -1 and 1. Defaults to 0 (no autocorrelation). a one sided formula of the form ~ t, or ~ t | g, specifying a time covariate t and, optionally, a grouping factor g. A covariate for this correlation structure must be integer valued. When a grouping factor is present in form ...6 Linear mixed-effects models with one random factor. 6.1 Learning objectives; 6.2 When, and why, would you want to replace conventional analyses with linear mixed-effects modeling? 6.3 Example: Independent-samples \(t\)-test on multi-level data. 6.3.1 When is a random-intercepts model appropriate? The “random effects model” (also known as the mixed effects model) is used when the analysis must account for both fixed and random effects in the model. This occurs when data for a subject are independent observations following a linear model or GLM, but the regression coefficients vary from person to person. Infant growth is aMar 15, 2022 · A random effects model that contains only random intercepts, which is the most common use of mixed effect modeling in randomized trials, assumes that the responses within subject are exchangeable. This can be seen from the statement of the linear mixed effects model with random intercepts. lmer (lme4) glmmTMB (glmmTMB) We will start by fitting the linear mixed effects model. data.hier.lme <- lme(y ~ x, random = ~1 | block, data.hier, method = "REML") The hierarchical random effects structure is defined by the random= parameter. In this case, random=~1|block indicates that blocks are random effects and that the intercept should be ...Models all contained the same fixed effects, were compared using AIC, and were fitted by REML (to allow comparison of different correlation structures by AIC). I'm using the R package nlme and the gls function. Question 1. The GLS models' residuals still display almost identical cyclical patterns when plotted against time.Sep 16, 2018 · Recently I have made good use of Matlab's built-in functions for making linear mixed effects. Currently I am trying to model time-series data (neuronal activity) from cognitive experiments with the fitlme() function using two continuous fixed effects (linear speed and acceleration) and several, hierarchically nested categorical random factors (subject identity, experimental session and binned ... Mixed-effect linear models. Whereas the classic linear model with n observational units and p predictors has the vectorized form. where and are design matrices that jointly represent the set of predictors. Random effects models include only an intercept as the fixed effect and a defined set of random effects.Apr 15, 2021 · Yes. How can glmmTMB tell how far apart moments in time are if the time sequence must be provided as a factor? The assumption is that successive levels of the factor are one time step apart (the ar1 () covariance structure does not allow for unevenly spaced time steps: for that you need the ou () covariance structure, for which you need to use ... The first model was a longitudinal mixed-effect model with a first-order autocorrelation structure, and the second model was the E-MELS. Both were implemented as described above. The third model was a longitudinal mixed-effect model with a Lasso penalty. PROC MIXED in the SAS System provides a very flexible modeling environment for handling a variety of repeated measures problems. Random effects can be used to build hierarchical models correlating measurements made on the same level of a random factor, including subject-specific regression models, while a variety of covariance and At this point, it is important to highlight how spatial data is internally stored in a SpatialGridDataFrame and the latent effects described in Table 7.1. For some models, INLA considers data sorted by column, i.e., a vector with the first column of the grid from top to bottom, followed by the second column and so on.7. I want to specify different random effects in a model using nlme::lme (data at the bottom). The random effects are: 1) intercept and position varies over subject; 2) intercept varies over comparison. This is straightforward using lme4::lmer: lmer (rating ~ 1 + position + (1 + position | subject) + (1 | comparison), data=d) > ...Arguments. the value of the lag 1 autocorrelation, which must be between -1 and 1. Defaults to 0 (no autocorrelation). a one sided formula of the form ~ t, or ~ t | g, specifying a time covariate t and, optionally, a grouping factor g. A covariate for this correlation structure must be integer valued. When a grouping factor is present in form ...What is autocorrelation? Generalized Additive Mixed Effects Models have several components: Smooth terms for covariates; Random Effects: Intercepts, Slopes and Smooths. Categorical Predictors; Interactions of (1)-(3) We can add one more component for autocorrelation: modeling the residuals: Covariance structure for the residuals.Linear mixed-effect model without repeated measurements. The OLS model indicated that additional modeling components are necessary to account for individual-level clustering and residual autocorrelation. Linear mixed-effect models allow for non-independence and clustering by describing both between and within individual differences.3. MIXED EFFECTS MODELS 3.1 Overview of mixed effects models When a regression contains both random and fixed effects, it is said to be a mixed effects model, or simply, a mixed model. Fixed effects are those with which most researchers are familiar. Any covariate that is assumed to have the same effect for all responses throughout the

a random effect for the autocorrelation. After introducing the extended mixed-effect location scale (E-MELS), ... mixed-effect models that have been, for example, combined with Lasso regression (e ... . Bundeswehr frankfurt am main

mixed effect model autocorrelation

I have temporal blocks in my data frame, so I took the effect of time dependency through a random intercept in a glmer model. Now I want to test the spatial autocorrelation in the residuals but I’m not sure if the test procedure based on the residual is the same as for the fixed-effect models since now I have time dependency.Dec 12, 2022 · It is a linear mixed model, with log-transformed OM regressed on marsh site (categorical), marsh type (categorical), soil category (categorical), depth (numerical, based on ordinal depth ranges), and the interaction between depth and marsh type; marsh site effects are modeled as random, on which the ICAR spatial autocorrelation structure is ... GLMMs. In principle, we simply define some kind of correlation structure on the random-effects variance-covariance matrix of the latent variables; there is not a particularly strong distinction between a correlation structure on the observation-level random effects and one on some other grouping structure (e.g., if there were a random effect of year (with multiple measurements within each year ...There is spatial autocorrelation in the data which has been identified using a variogram and Moran's I. The problem is I tried to run a lme model, with a random effect of the State that district is within: mod.cor<-lme(FLkm ~ Monsoon.Precip + Monsoon.Temp,correlation=corGaus(form=~x+y,nugget=TRUE), data=NE1, random = ~1|State)Dec 12, 2022 · It is a linear mixed model, with log-transformed OM regressed on marsh site (categorical), marsh type (categorical), soil category (categorical), depth (numerical, based on ordinal depth ranges), and the interaction between depth and marsh type; marsh site effects are modeled as random, on which the ICAR spatial autocorrelation structure is ... This example will use a mixed effects model to describe the repeated measures analysis, using the lme function in the nlme package. Student is treated as a random variable in the model. The autocorrelation structure is described with the correlation statement.(1) this assumes the temporal pattern is the same across subjects; (2) because gamm() uses lme rather than lmer under the hood you have to specify the random effect as a separate argument. (You could also use the gamm4 package, which uses lmer under the hood.) You might want to allow for temporal autocorrelation. For example,10.8k 7 39 67. 1. All LMMs correspond to a multivariate normal model (while the converse is not true) with a structured variance covariance matrix, so "all" you have to do is to work out the marginal variance covariance matrix for the nested random-effect model and fit that - whether gls is then able to parameterize that model is then the next ...I have a dataset of 12 days of diary data. I am trying to use lme to model the effect of sleep quality on stress, with random intercept effects of participant and random slope effect of sleep quality. I am not particularly interested in asking whether there was change over time from diaryday 1 to 12, just in accounting for the time variable.Dec 24, 2014 · Is it accurate to say that we used a linear mixed model to account for missing data (i.e. non-response; technology issues) and participant-level effects (i.e. how frequently each participant used ... Eight models were estimated in which subjects nervousness values were regressed on all aforementioned predictors. The first model was a standard mixed-effects model with random effects for the intercept and the slope but no autocorrelation (Model 1 in Tables 2 and 3). The second model included such an autocorrelation (Model 2). .

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